How Sharp Is the Sharpe Ratio? An Evaluation of Global Stock Indices

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Investors throughout the globe use the Sharpe Ratio, amongst different risk-adjusted metrics, to match the efficiency of mutual fund and hedge fund managers in addition to asset lessons and particular person securities. The Sharpe Ratio makes an attempt to explain the surplus return relative to the danger of the technique or funding — that’s, return minus risk-free charge divided by volatility — and is among the many main gauges of fund supervisor efficiency.

But hidden throughout the Sharpe Ratio is the idea that volatility — the denominator of the equation — captures “danger” in its entirety. Of course, if volatility fails to completely mirror the funding’s danger profile, then the Sharpe Ratio and comparable risk-adjusted measures could also be flawed and unreliable. 

What are the implications of such a conclusion? A standard one is that the distribution of returns should be regular, or Gaussian. If there may be vital skewness within the returns of the safety, technique, or asset class, then the Sharpe Ratio could not precisely describe “risk-adjusted returns.”

To check the metric’s effectiveness, we constructed month-to-month return distributions for 15 world inventory market indices to find out if any had such exacerbated skewness as to name into query the measure’s applicability. The distribution of returns went way back to 1970 and have been calculated on each a month-to-month and annual foundation. The month-to-month return distributions are introduced blow. Annual return outcomes have been qualitatively comparable throughout the assorted indices studied.

We ranked all 15 indices by their skewness. The S&P 500 got here in near the center of the pack on this measure, with a mean return of 0.72% and a median return of 1% monthly. So, the S&P distribution skews only a bit to the left.

S&P 500 Monthly Return Distributions, Since 1970

Bar chart showing S&P 500 Monthly Return Distributions, Since 1970

The full record of indices ranked by their skewness is introduced within the chart beneath. Ten of the 15 indices exhibit left skewness, or crash danger: They are extra liable to pronounced nose-dives than they’re to steep upward climbs. The least skewed distributions have been these of France’s CAC 40 and the Heng Seng, in Hong Kong, SAR.

Monthly Returns by Global Index

Index Mean Median Min. Max. STD Skewness
ASX 200 0.58% 1.01% -42.3% 22.4% 0.048 -1.3
TSX 0.60% 0.88% -22.6% 16% 0.044 -0.77
FTSE 0.53% 0.91% -27.6% 13.7% 0.045 -0.73
Russell 2000 0.84% 1.60% -21.9% 18.3% 0.055 -0.55
S&P 500 0.72% 1.00% -21.8% 16.3% 0.044 -0.45
DAX 0.67% 0.74% -25.4% 21.4% 0.056 -0.39
Nikkei 0.54% 0.91% -23.8% 20.1% 0.055 -0.37
MXX 1.23% 1.16% -29.5% 20.4% 0.066 -0.34
MOEX 1.29% 1.63% -30% 33% 0.079 -0.29
CAC 40 0.64% 0.98% -22.3% 24.5% 0.056 -0.11
Hang Seng 1.17% 1.23% -44.1% 67.3% 0.090 0.33
NSE 1.50% 1.05% -24% 42% 0.076 0.53
KRX 0.90% 0.49% -27.3% 50.7% 0.074 0.80
BVSP 5.63% 1.94% -58.8% 128.6% 0.184 2.51
SSE 1.65% 0.63% -31.2% 177.2% 0.151 6.26

The Shanghai Composite has exhibited the best diploma of proper skewness over time, tending to crash up greater than down, and in any other case producing common returns of 1.65% monthly and median returns of 0.63% monthly.

Shanghai Composite (SSE) Monthly Return Distribution, Since 1990

Chart showing Shanghai Composite Monthly Return Distributions, Since 1990

On the other finish of the spectrum is the Australian ASX. The ASX has probably the most left skewness of all of the indices, with a mean month-to-month return of 0.58% and median month-to-month return of 1.01% since 1970.

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) Monthly Return Distributions, Since 1970

Chart showing Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) Monthly Return Distributions, Since 1970

In the tip, the BSVA in Brazil, the Shanghai Composite in China, and, to a lesser extent the ASX in Australia simply have an excessive amount of skewness of their returns to validate the Sharpe Ratio as an applicable measure for his or her risk-adjusted efficiency. As a consequence, metrics that account for skewness in returns could also be higher gauges in these markets.

Of the opposite indices, seven had pretty symmetrical distributions and 5 had reasonably skewed ones. All informed, this means that the Sharpe Ratio nonetheless has worth as a efficiency metric and that it might not be as out of date or ineffective as its critics contend.

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All posts are the opinion of the creator. As such, they shouldn’t be construed as funding recommendation, nor do the opinions expressed essentially mirror the views of CFA Institute or the creator’s employer.

Image credit score: ©Getty Images/NPHOTOS

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Derek Horstmeyer

Derek Horstmeyer is a professor at George Mason University School of Business, specializing in exchange-traded fund (ETF) and mutual fund efficiency. He at present serves as Director of the brand new Financial Planning and Wealth Management main at George Mason and based the primary student-managed funding fund at GMU.

Katherine Vargas Medina

Katherine Vargas Medina is a present senior at George Mason University, double majoring in finance and administration info methods. After commencement, she plans to proceed her training by pursuing a grasp’s of science in finance. She is at present a finance intern at Cresset Capital, wealth administration agency. She is thinking about pursuing a profession in wealth administration and monetary know-how.

Lincoln Berkson

Lincoln Berkson graduated from the George Mason University School of Business in May 2022 with concentrations in finance and administration info methods. He is a former member of the Montano Student Managed Investment Fund. Berkson lately accepted a proposal from Accenture Federal Services and will likely be beginning as a consumer monetary administration analyst on the finish of June.

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